The Most Likely To Succeed congressional candidates are Republicans in Ky Districts 1, 2, 4 and 5. All are incumbents. The Ballotpedia calls Ky’s Sixth District a ‘battleground race’ even though the Republican is an incumbent. For District 3 see here.
|1||western Ky||James Comer||James Rhodes (D)||Comer won by 93K votes in 2018. Heavily Republican District predicted to remain Red.|
|2||west central Ky||Brett Guthrie||Hank Linderman (D),|
Robert Lee Perry (L),
Lewis Carter (P),
Poet Tribble (U)
|Guthrie beat Linderman by about 92,000 votes in 2018. Predicted to win in 2020.|
|4||northern Ky||Thomas Massie||Alexandra Owensby (D)||Predicted to win again in 2020.|
|5||southeastern Ky||Hal Rogers||Matthew Ryan Best (D)||Rogers beat Democrat Stepp by 126.2K votes in 2018. Predicted to win in 2020.|
|Andy Barr||Josh Hicks (D), Frank Harris (L)||Barr won by about 10K votes against Amy McGrath in 2018. Carried the Republican |
Primary by about 90% against contenders, but received 63K votes compared with
81K votes received by Josh Hicks in the Democratic Primary. So, if the Democrats are
diligent to vote in the General Election, Barr may have a problem.
Cause for concern?
In Comer’s and Barr’s districts, there are more registered Democrats than registered Republicans. Here are the July 2020 statistics. (The numbers don’t quite add up but are close.)
As shown in the Pdf or Excel file, the categories of registered voters include: Democrat, Republican, Other, Ind, Libert, Green, Const, Reform, and Soc Wk. On the old mainframe computer all voters not registered as Democrat or Republican were classified as ‘Other,’ however, no current registered voter in the new system is classified as ‘Other’ and ‘Ind,’ for example. Each has only one designation as a registered voter. Only Democrats and Republicans are classified as a Party; the rest are called ‘Groups.’
For District 1 there are 40,700 total voters in Groups, which is more than either the Democrat or Republican registered voters.
Districts 2, 3 and 6 have more in the Groups than in Republican, and Districts 4 and 5 have more in Groups than are Democrats. It is unclear how these Groups may affect the General Election. Perhaps these voters will positively affect Barr’s circumstances.
Not voting is not an option for pro-lifers!